UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Italy Preview, Odds, Prediction

The European football classic between Germany and Italy takes place on Tuesday night. The two multiple World Champions square off at Borussia Park in Monchengladbach, both seeking a win, the hosts to keep their chances of reaching the top spot in Group 3 of the UEFA Nations League tier A, while Italy wants to keep that place. The difference between these two sides is two points, and we are pretty sure this game will provide enough excitement for the fans.

Preview

Germany (-125) didn’t win in this edition of the UNL, but on the other side, they haven’t lost as well. Three games and three draws for Hansi Flick boys is a pretty strange outcome and disappointing, we can add. Germany is always after a victory and even draws against Italy and England aren’t considered to be solid outcomes.

All three events Die Mannschaft played ended 1-1, in Italy, then at home to England, and at last in Hungary. The forwards are somewhat sloppy, the same as the back line, and to be honest, the Germans haven’t shown any consistency.

They had a chance to flip the result against Italy in Bologna but simply didn’t have enough gas in the tank to knockout Azzurri. Harry Kane’s penalty in the 88th minute snapped two points from them, and despite being better, Flick’s unit failed to win. As for the game in Hungary, it was one pretty pale performance on both ends, with the note that the hosts were a bit better.

Italy (+400) posted two draws and one win in these UNL. The Azurri aren’t playing some specifically entertaining football, but on the other hand, they are effective.

After playing 1-1 at home against Germany, they beat Hungary also at home, 2-1, before having a goalless affair with the English unit in London. It was a very dull game between the two sides who met in the recent EURO finals, once Italy managed to end up on the winning side following the penalties.

Italy’s games on the road are usually boring, and three of the past four following the EURO ended without goals. The only one that saw any action was against Turkey in March, which was a friendly international, 2-3.

Latest News

Serge Gnabry could be out due to his calf problems, while ever-injured Marco Reus is out too due to his muscular injury.

On the other side, Sandro Tonali is injured, while Alessandro Florenzi and Tommaso Pobega left the training camp, and won’t be available.

Head to Head Games

The most recent was a few days ago, when Italy barely preserved a point in Bologna, despite having a lead. The game ended 1-1, with Lorenzo Pellegrini scoring in the 70th minute and Kimmich leveling three minutes later. After that, Germany pressured but couldn’t score.

Prediction

Germans are looking better, but you can never tell with Italy. That is why our pick here would be a moderate efficiency or 2 or 3 goals, where the odds are -105 at the moment. That is the most reasonable outcome in this case.

Pick: Moderate efficiency, 2 or 3 goals