UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Hungary Preview, Odds, Prediction

Germany hosts Hungary at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig this Friday night. This is the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League Division A, group 3. The situation in this pack is quite surprising, with the Hungarians topping the standings while England sits dead last. Hungary has one point more than the Germans, so this is a direct confrontation for the top spot. The hosts are favorites, but we must remember that Hungary stayed unbeaten in the previous two clashes against Germany.

Preview

Germany (-400) won against Italy in their latest UNL meeting, thus snapping a four-game streak in which they played 1-1 against the rivals. First, it was a friendly international against the Netherlands, then three UNL clashes, on the road in Italy, at home to England, and in Budapest vs. Hungary.

Head coach Hansi Flick had several problems with injured and absent players a couple of days ago, yet he sorted all of them. We will mention the players involved in this matter later.

The Germans have four wins and a draw in the past five games at home, scoring two or more goals in all triumphs. The opponents haven’t been some high-class quality, Romania, Liechtenstein, Israel, and Italy.

Hungary (+1000) is high on morale following a historic win at Wembley, where they massacred the English team, 0-4. It was one of the most glorious days of the national selection, which by the way, has a rich history.

After beating England at home in the UNL opener, 1-0, the Hungarians lost in Italy, 2-1, then played 1-1 at home against Germany before trashing the Albion in London. Overall, this is a solid team with a high ceiling, and even though it didn’t reach Qatar, Hungary has one pretty nasty crew.

The efficiency of their matches oscillates a lot. It pretty much depends on who scores first. If they do, the tactics become immediately defensive-minded, and the efficiency is decreased. Though on the road, it is usually a moderate one, meaning two or three goals.

Latest News

Manu Neuer and Leon Goretzka tested positive for COVID-19 and these two had to be isolated following the results. Though, despite being in an unpredicted situation, Flick has enough depth to cover it up.

On the other side, all the players summoned are ready to play.

Head to Head Games

The last two meetings saw draws. The most recent was in Budapest this year, in round 3 of the UNL, with the teams netting a goal apiece. Nagy opened the show in the sixth minute, while Hofmann leveled three minutes later. Hungary would survive the remaining part of the game.

Prior to that event, we saw one in June 2021 at the EURO, which finished 2-2.

Prediction

Germany is the absolute favorite for this one, and we expect them to beat Hungary by at least a two-goal margin. After smashing the Italians 5-2, we expect them to continue at the same pace, and the odds on this pick are currently at -110. We really think that Hungary can’t survive Germany’s attack this time.

Pick: Germany -1.5 -110