Following today's UEFA Champions League group stage draw, the most prominent European football/soccer competition is ready to kick off. And so is betting on the same. In this article, we will review all the groups and present them to you. Manchester City is the top contender for winning the trophy, and … Read More... about UEFA Champions League Group Stage Draw Completed
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The 3 Best Baseball Prospects We Have Yet to See
With the arrival of top-prospect Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to the bigs, now is an appropriate time to discuss which of baseball’s other promising youngsters could provide an impact to their big league clubs in the near future. Several of the names on the MLB Top-100 Prospects list have already made it to the highest level. Most are lurking in the minors, fine-tuning their craft … [Read more...] about The 3 Best Baseball Prospects We Have Yet to See
A Look at xFIP and HR/FB Rates – Identifying Undervalued Pitchers
Value is everything in any money-making endeavor. Want to trade stocks? Look for value. Want to win on Draftkings? Buy low, my friend. This week, we have explored several of the ways I search for undervalued hitters. It’s time for the pitchers to get some love. Like BABIP, Hard%, and ISO for hitters, pitchers possess several metrics which can tell a story beyond the … [Read more...] about A Look at xFIP and HR/FB Rates – Identifying Undervalued Pitchers
Introducing O-Swing% – Is Javier Baez Due for a Decline
Remember those hitters on your Little League team who would helplessly flail at each and every curveball coming their way? Maybe you were that guy. There is nothing worse than gearing up to take a big rip at what looks like a knee-high heater only to see the bottom fall out 6 inches before the plate. I’ve been there in my playing days. You walk back to the dugout feeling … [Read more...] about Introducing O-Swing% – Is Javier Baez Due for a Decline
Newsflash: The Rays Won’t Continue Playing .700 Baseball on the Road
The best team in baseball is the Tampa Bay Rays. This is no typo. The defending champion Red Sox are a dismal 9-14. The Cubs are .500. The Rockies, Nationals, and A’s all have losing records, as well. What is happening to the MLB we know and love? How is Tampa on top? Simply put: The Rays are out-hitting and out-pitching their opponents, especially away from the Trop. … [Read more...] about Newsflash: The Rays Won’t Continue Playing .700 Baseball on the Road
MLB April Outlook – Checking Back in on Huge Dogs
Earlier this month, I reported that huge underdogs were playing uncharacteristically well. Not since 2004 have teams with lines of +200 or longer been profitable on the moneyline for an entire season. The numbers suggested that a collapse was probable, but longshot clubs have held strong. Their 9-13 record grants them a 40.9% winning percentage and profits of $730. Compare … [Read more...] about MLB April Outlook – Checking Back in on Huge Dogs
Factor in BABIP – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Batting average isn’t everything. Neither are home runs. These stats often give an incomplete assessment of how well a hitter is seeing and hitting the ball. I discussed in my previous article the importance of looking at hard hit ball rates to find undervalued hitters instead of relying on the classic AVG/HR/RBI. Numerous alternative statistics exist that can tell us a lot … [Read more...] about Factor in BABIP – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Hit the Ball Hard – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Keeper leagues, auction leagues, points leagues, roto leagues, weekly leagues, daily leagues, tattoo leagues … you name it, you can find it in a fantasy baseball league. Baseball’s Rule 34, if you will. No matter the format, fantasy owners are always on the hunt for one thing - value. Getting first-round-production out of an eighth-round pick is finding value. When your … [Read more...] about Hit the Ball Hard – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Massive Underdogs are Normally Terrible Bets – This Year They’re Winning
It has been said you can count on two things - death and taxes. I would add a third item to that list. You can always count on large underdogs in the MLB to come up short … well, at least until this season. The system is ultra-simple and yet the numbers are staggering. Underdogs of +200 or more have not had a profitable season since 2004! If you were unfortunate enough to … [Read more...] about Massive Underdogs are Normally Terrible Bets – This Year They’re Winning