Following today's UEFA Champions League group stage draw, the most prominent European football/soccer competition is ready to kick off. And so is betting on the same. In this article, we will review all the groups and present them to you. Manchester City is the top contender for winning the trophy, and … Read More... about UEFA Champions League Group Stage Draw Completed
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Introducing O-Swing% – Is Javier Baez Due for a Decline
Remember those hitters on your Little League team who would helplessly flail at each and every curveball coming their way? Maybe you were that guy. There is nothing worse than gearing up to take a big rip at what looks like a knee-high heater only to see the bottom fall out 6 inches before the plate. I’ve been there in my playing days. You walk back to the dugout feeling … [Read more...] about Introducing O-Swing% – Is Javier Baez Due for a Decline
MLB April Outlook – Checking Back in on Huge Dogs
Earlier this month, I reported that huge underdogs were playing uncharacteristically well. Not since 2004 have teams with lines of +200 or longer been profitable on the moneyline for an entire season. The numbers suggested that a collapse was probable, but longshot clubs have held strong. Their 9-13 record grants them a 40.9% winning percentage and profits of $730. Compare … [Read more...] about MLB April Outlook – Checking Back in on Huge Dogs
Factor in BABIP – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Batting average isn’t everything. Neither are home runs. These stats often give an incomplete assessment of how well a hitter is seeing and hitting the ball. I discussed in my previous article the importance of looking at hard hit ball rates to find undervalued hitters instead of relying on the classic AVG/HR/RBI. Numerous alternative statistics exist that can tell us a lot … [Read more...] about Factor in BABIP – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Hit the Ball Hard – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Keeper leagues, auction leagues, points leagues, roto leagues, weekly leagues, daily leagues, tattoo leagues … you name it, you can find it in a fantasy baseball league. Baseball’s Rule 34, if you will. No matter the format, fantasy owners are always on the hunt for one thing - value. Getting first-round-production out of an eighth-round pick is finding value. When your … [Read more...] about Hit the Ball Hard – Under the Radar Fantasy Hitters
Massive Underdogs are Normally Terrible Bets – This Year They’re Winning
It has been said you can count on two things - death and taxes. I would add a third item to that list. You can always count on large underdogs in the MLB to come up short … well, at least until this season. The system is ultra-simple and yet the numbers are staggering. Underdogs of +200 or more have not had a profitable season since 2004! If you were unfortunate enough to … [Read more...] about Massive Underdogs are Normally Terrible Bets – This Year They’re Winning
The Jet Ski Rental of MLB Betting Systems
Imagine owning a jet ski rental business in a northern coastal city. For three-quarters of the year, business is going to be slow. In fact, you will probably only be open for a few months. No one jet skis in Michigan in February. As you winterproof your building and prepare to take the cold months off, you realize that your business will be losing money until you are able to … [Read more...] about The Jet Ski Rental of MLB Betting Systems
Seattle Mariners are Wildly Profitable Yet Again
It’s the end of April 2018 - about a year ago. Expectations are low in Rain City. The M’s begin the season as underdogs, but then begin mashing the ball all over the park. No one sees this coming, as evidenced by an average Vegas line of +112 through the first month. Despite the lack of faith from the experts, Seattle rolls to a 16-11 April record while the total goes over … [Read more...] about Seattle Mariners are Wildly Profitable Yet Again
MLB April Refresher – The Importance of Siding with Trends
The Major League Baseball season can quickly grow or deplete a bankroll. The 162-game marathon lends itself to many opportunities for large successes or large failures because a schedule of that size is bound to contain many patterns or trends. Be on the right side of these patterns and you will quickly rack up winnings. Be on the wrong side and your baseball betting season … [Read more...] about MLB April Refresher – The Importance of Siding with Trends