Following today's UEFA Champions League group stage draw, the most prominent European football/soccer competition is ready to kick off. And so is betting on the same. In this article, we will review all the groups and present them to you. Manchester City is the top contender for winning the trophy, and … Read More... about UEFA Champions League Group Stage Draw Completed
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Fade Favorites Following Flat Finishes
There is an adage in the NFL which says a team is never as good or as bad as the score of their last game. In other words, just because a team won by 20 last week does not mean that is the new norm, and vice versa. I do not believe momentum exists in the NFL. I have been clear how I feel about momentum and have worked to dig up supporting statistics. However, lines skewed … [Read more...] about Fade Favorites Following Flat Finishes
The NFL is a Week-to-Week League: Should I Bet Teams Following a Win?
I am a firm believer that momentum does not carry over in the NFL. Thursday games can be different, but 6 days off between matchups normally creates a clean slate. If momentum did exist in the NFL, we would expect to see things like an increased chance of winning after a win and an increased chance of losing after a loss. I am going to dig up some numbers that will finally … [Read more...] about The NFL is a Week-to-Week League: Should I Bet Teams Following a Win?
4 Double-Digit Favorites in Action This Sunday
The topic of double-digit NFL favorites gets talked about quite a bit. This Sunday, we will have a chance to bet a season-high 4 teams who are favored by at least 10 points, so we better know what we are talking about. Are these bets sure things? Is a 4-team parlay the best option? Or it is the complete opposite? Should we avoid them like the plague? What do the numbers … [Read more...] about 4 Double-Digit Favorites in Action This Sunday
Betting NFL Teams That Move from -3 to -3.5
No, this is not a duplicate article. I wrote a similar piece that explored teams moving from 3-point favorites to 2.5-point favorites. This time, I will explore a line shift in the other direction. Does this story describe you? There is a close contest between two division rivals and you predict the home team to win in a close contest. The opening line gives the home team … [Read more...] about Betting NFL Teams That Move from -3 to -3.5
Betting NFL Teams That Move from -3 to -2.5
There is a big game this week. You have conducted your typical research but cannot find any advantage to separate the two teams. The home team is given the standard -3 spread in the opening line, but this one is too close to call and you decide not to risk it. But wait! The day before kickoff, the line moves to -2.5. Reasoning that this is a far more beatable line, you say … [Read more...] about Betting NFL Teams That Move from -3 to -2.5
Worst NFL Teams Against The Spread Through 7 Weeks
With the NFL having played seven weeks of the 2018 season, clearer pictures are starting to form in terms of what teams you can and can’t rely on to cover the spread. And when it comes to teams that you can’t count on to beat the number, there are any number of reasons that they have failed to deliver for bettors who have backed them throughout the season. Here are the eight … [Read more...] about Worst NFL Teams Against The Spread Through 7 Weeks
Home Teams Have Killed It This Year
930 dollars. That is how much you would have won if you threw down $100 on each NFL home team ATS this season. You did not have to handicap and seek out value. You just had to blindly bet home teams and reap in the winnings. We are 91 games into this NFL season and home teams have beaten the spread 50 times, dropping only 37. For the mathematically challenged among us, … [Read more...] about Home Teams Have Killed It This Year
How Are the Chiefs So Good?
The Chiefs are one those teams that are always competitive but seemingly on nobody’s radar. Playing in small-market Kansas City, it is easy to overlook this club when discussing possible title contenders. A quick look at the NFL standings reveals that KC is the only 4-0 team in the AFC. They are legit. I will answer two pressing questions about the Chiefs: How did they get … [Read more...] about How Are the Chiefs So Good?