Serie A: Napoli vs. AC Milan Preview, Odds, Prediction

The closing match of Serie A round 8 is a big derby between Napoli and AC Milan. Throughout history, we’ve seen some magnificent clashes between these two sides, and we are more than positive that the situation will be the same now. The guests are coming to Naples as the leaders, having three points more than the home crew. Gattuso’s guys are hoping to win and sit at the top of the standings at least for one week, if not longer.

Preview

Napoli (+120) is the favorite in this match, probably due to the latest results. I Partenopei have four victories in the previous five games, all of them by a one-goal margin. Overall, this side won seven times in the recent ten matches, with the other three being losses.

However, what is a negative trend is Napoli’s two latest contests at home. The team from San Paolo stadium lost both of them, not being able to score a single goal – Sassuolo 0-2, and AZ Alkmaar 0-2. Previously, in three consecutive wins, the goal difference was 14-1 in their favor.

Napoli was a very efficient team before, but in recent times that is not the case. Under 2.5 goals have been seen in four of the past six games this side played.

AC Milan (+210) welcomed the recent international break with open hands as they posted two disappointing results, both at home. The first one was a devastating loss in the Europa League against Lille, 0-3, and after that, a draw vs. Verone 2-2. Instead of keeping the distance between them and the rest of the rivals, Pioli’s side slipped, losing valuable credit, which could be used in this event.

Unlike Napoli, Milan provides us with high-efficient affairs, as they have eight straight matches with over 2.5 goals involved.

Also, one other fact needs to be mentioned. They didn’t lose a single game on the road this season, six events, six losses, counting in the penalty shootout victory against Rio Ave in the Europa League playoffs.

Latest News

Amir Rahmani, Elseid Hysaj, and Victor Osimhen are not available for this event.

Rafael Leao and Mateo Musacchio are out for Milan.

Head to Head Games

Both games between these two sides played in 2019/20 year ended without winners. The one at San Siro ended 1-1, and the second at San Paolo 2-2.

Overall, Milan hasn’t lost in the previous four, with Rosonerri winning just one match during that streak. But, the seven-time European champions haven’t won in Naples since 2010. Napoli won five games there with four draws. The previous four were over 2.5 goals, and both sides to score.

Prediction

Both sides had several players included in international games, but most of their crew had a chance to recharge the batteries and rest. Milan likes to attacks and controls the match, and when Napoli plays against those types of teams, they too want to open and be offensive. One other factor that forces us to go with this pick is the fantastic attacking potential of both the hosts and the visitors.

Our recommendation here would be to bet on over 2.5 goals with both sides scoring. The odds here are at -110.