Serie A: Derby Della Capitale: Lazio vs. Roma Preview, Odds, Prediction

Lazio and Roma clash in the Serie A round of 18, writing another chapter in their Derby Della Capitale story. The derby of Rome is one of the most exciting soccer matches in the world, and it is a big misfortune we can’t see fans in the stands. Whoever saw in person what happens in the stadium during the match has no words for explaining his experience. When looking at the recent form of these two sides, both Lazio and Roma look solid, suffering just one loss in the last five events with three wins and a draw. 

Preview

Lazio (+185) won two matches in a row, beating Fiorentina at home and Parma on the road, scoring twice in both events. Simone Inzaghi’s boys managed to hit the back of the rival’s net in the previous 19 consecutive matches, and overall, they play open and efficient contests.

Did you know that just one of their events at home since the start of this campaign didn’t saw both sides netting, and three in 11 went under 2.5 scores? Well, many weren’t.

The Sky-Blues are using the same style of play, which includes an offensive approach, constant pressure on the rivals, and a bit lose defense, which is why they allow goals frequently. 

Roma (+130) didn’t lose in four straight matches, winning three in a row before playing 2-2 against Inter last weekend. Il Lupi took the lead in that one, then allowed Inter to have the edge, hitting back a few minutes before the end and securing a point from that contest.

Like Lazio, Paulo Fonseca’s team is also fun to watch, with Roma having just two matches in the past 10 that ended under 2.5 goals. The same didn’t see scores on both sides.

Il Lupi posted three losses and two triumphs over the latest five road trips. But that isn’t important here, because we won’t be looking at the results of their away games as Roma plays at Olimpico on Saturday. Just to remind you, both Roma and Lazio share the legendary stadium. 

Now, about the efficiency. Over 3.5 goals took place in three of the latest four contests Il Lupi played here. Enough said. 

Latest News

Correa and Lulic are out, and that is a massive handicap for the Eagles. Fares’ muscle injury will separate him from the field, while Strakosha and Silvio Proto, too, have health issues. 

On the other side, Pedro, Mirante, and Calafiori all have muscle injuries and can’t play. Nicolo Zaniolo is ruled out due to a knee injury. 

Head to Head Matches

When searching through history, we found that these two sides played 174 matches, with Roma winning 65 times, and Lazio 46; 63 games ended with a draw.

During the 2019/20 campaign, both games ended 1-1.

Prediction

One thing is constant for both teams, which is that they score and concede goals and that their matches often finish with at least three hits. The odds on both teams to net and over 2.5 goals are -125, and we aren’t going to look beyond this pick.