Serie A: AC Milan vs. AS Roma Preview, Odds, Prediction

The biggest game of this Sunday in Serie A is the one between Milan and Roma. Throughout history, their events often had a major impact on the title race, delivering incredible results and memorable situations. Coming into this event, AC Milan is second in the standings with five points fewer than Napoli, while Roma sits sixth, 11 steps behind Gil Azzuri, and yet only three points away from the UEFA Champions League zone. Reaching one of those top four places means a lot for Il Lupi because Mourinho wants to bring this club back to Europe’s elite tier. One step was winning the Europa Conference League, and the next is playing the UCL.

Preview

AC Milan (-125) didn’t lose a game in Serie A following a defeat to Torino on the road four rounds ago. Following that, Rosonerri had three wins and a draw. After a win at home over Spezia, 2-1, they played without goals on the road in Cremona and beat Fiorentina just before the World Cup started, 2-1.

The most recent event this crew had was on the road in Salerno against Salareintana, winning it with the same result in the past two Serie A meetings, 2-1. Milan’s two goals came in the opening 15 minutes, with Leao and Tonali netting. Later on they would decrease the tempo of the game and preserve the lead.

Rossoneri have four wins at home in a row, in all scoring at least twice, yet keeping their net intact only once. All the events were with over 2.5 scores. 

Roma (+375) defeated Bologna at home this midweek, following a very dull and mediocre performance. After taking the lead in the opening few minutes, and converting a penalty, Il Lupi stopped and wasn’t oriented to scoring anymore.

Mourinho’s football emerged again, with the hosts being destructive and focused on ruining the rival’s game, more than creating one of their own. But then again, that’s Mourinho.

Roma’s game usually brings scores on both ends when playing away from homes. For example, only one in the past eight didn’t see both teams scoring. 

Latest News

AC Milan has lots of problems with injured players. Zlatan is out, Origi too, Messias, Maignan, Florenzi and Ballo-Toure, all due to injuries. Meanwhile. Krunic, Rebic and Kjaer are questionable.

Roma is fine, with Wijnaldum and Darboe being the only ones available for Mourinho.

Head to Head Games

Milan has four wins and one draw in the past five events against Roma, netting at least twice in all of them. Overall, the latest four matches had been with at least three goals and both units to net. Pioli’s team beat Roma last year on both occasions, in Rome, 1-2, and at San Siro, 3-1. 

Prediction

We expect to see moderate efficiency here, due to Mourinho’s rigid approach and his tactical knowledge in situations like this one. Moderate efficiency means two or three goals; given all the circumstances, that is the most logical option. The majority of Roma’s games on the road ended like that. The odds here are at +105.

Pick: 2 or 3 goals +105