La Liga: Real Madrid vs. Alaves Betting Preview, Odds, Prediction

Real Madrid awaits Alaves in the closing game of Week 35 of the Spanish La Liga championship. Los Blancos need to win and keep the safe distance between them and Barcelona. Real has been magnificent ever since the comeback and Zidane’s side, although winning with minimal results, is looking pretty convincing. Though, we need to add that there is a lot of controversial decisions of the referees which benefit Los Blancos, but that is football. As for Alaves, they are three points away from the red zone, and need to collect points; otherwise, Mallorca might catch them at some point.

Preview

Real Madrid (-800) used all the slips Barcelona had, and from being behind two points, they are now four points away from the biggest rivals. Right now, the Madridians have nothing but wins since the resumption of the campaign – 7 games, 7 triumphs, and in just two of them, they allowed goals.

The most recent four all ended with Los Blancos keeping their net intact. The streak started against Mallorca at home, 2-0, then against Espanyol on the road, 0-1, Getafe at home 1-0, and finally in Bilbao against Athletic 0-1.

Now, what is interesting is that in the latest two, Real won after goals form penalties, and according to some, pretty controversial. Yet, we won’t go into this and we will focus only on betting.

Alaves (+1300) is on a cold-streak winning just once and posting six defeats after the comeback. That sole victory was against Real Sociedad at home, 2-0, and apart from that, they lost vs. Espanyol, Celta Vigo (devastating 6-0), Osasuna, Atletico Madrid, Granada, and Valladolid.

The offensive part of the team is the most vulnerable. Alaves netted just three times, during the entire time, meaning that they concluded five contests without scoring a goal. It’s their fortunate for having a solid gap before the pause, otherwise, they would already be below the relegation line.

Alaves is the second-worst team in league with just 9 points, having two wins in 17 events, scoring 12, and allowing 37 goals away from home.

Latest News

Dani Carvajal and Sergio Ramos are not playing because of yellow cards. Eden Hazard is also unavailable, while Nacho and Varane would stand as a game-time decision.

On the other side, Duarte is off, while Pacheco stands as questionable.

Head to Head Matches

Real won in the opening game of the season, with 1-2, and both goals for Zidane’s side were delivered by two guys who won’t be playing, Ramos and Carvajal. When looking at the H2H matches in Madrid, hosts won nine times in the previous 10, posting just one loss. In all their wins, they would score at least three times. Alaves didn’t get to net at all in the previous four games.

Prediction

We will be bold in this prediction, and propose to bet on Real’s win with an Asian handicap, -2.5 goals. That is to win with a three-goal margin. The moneyline for that is at +175, which is superb, and the recent head-to-head events in Madrid are suggesting that this outcome is pretty frequent. Who wants to lower the risk should play Real -1.5 at -130.