Bayer Leverkusen was stunned last week at home, and they are ahead of one pretty tough road trip. Peter Bosz’s guys travel to Freiburg to meet one tough and unpredictable opponent, who is able to lose against much weaker sides, but also, to defeat top German clubs. It is the opening game of the round, and the only one this Friday, which suggests that it will be in the middle of the attention of all the soccer fans around the globe.
Preview
Freiburg (+375) was near a massive win in Frankfurt last week, but they came back home with just one point despite a two-goal lead. In the 70th minute, they had 1-3 but allowed the hosts to score two goals in less than 120 seconds, which was a knockout for all their fans. Yet, they managed to get away with that one point and keep some chances of reaching that sixth spot and the Europe League qualifiers.
This was the third straight, in which the Zebras haven’t won, that is, since the restart of the league. During that time, they would post two draws and one loss, and slip down from the No.6 in the standings. Four of the previous five games Freiburg played at home all saw both teams not to score, which is rare for German Bundesliga.
Leverkusen (-140) blew all those positive results made in the last 15 matches, including the most recent win in Monchengladbach over their direct rivals Borussia, by suffering a humiliating loss at home to Wolfsburg, 1-4. It was something nobody expected, not even the biggest fans of the Wolves.
Bayer is now fifth in the standings, with 53 points, same as Monch and two fewer than Leipzig. For them, there is no room for mistake anymore, and the slightest slip means that their chances for the UCL will severely deteriorate.
When talking about betting, do know that their previous six games all saw over 3.5 goals, and that just one didn’t conclude with both teams to score.
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Yoric Ravet is questionable, while Janik Haberer and Lukas Kubler are out for sure when talking about Freiburg.
On the other side, as usual, Kevin Volland and Lars Bender are ineligible for the guests.
Head to Head Matches
The first match of the season, in the late part of November, ended with 1-1. Bayer dominated, but they simply couldn’t score more than once. They were superior in every aspect of the game, but fortune was smiling at the Zebras on that day. In general their matchups are not efficient, and four most recent games they played saw under 2.5 goals, while four straight until that clash saw both teams not to score.
Prediction
Even though this is supposed to be a tough match, with high stakes, goals are expected here. Freiburg might want to play more defensive-minded, but their rivals don’t know any other style but ultra-offensive, and we believe that Leverkusen will force the Zebras’ to be more open than they usually are. Our choice here would be over 1.5 goals in the second halftime. The moneyline there is -125.
Our tipsters think that it is a fair offer and a pretty realistic one. The situation in the second half will become more lose, and as time went by, the concentration of the player on both sides will drop. Therefore high efficiency then is expected.
Pick: Over 1.5 HT second half -125
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.
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Email: nikola@wagerbop.com
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