Following today's UEFA Champions League group stage draw, the most prominent European football/soccer competition is ready to kick off. And so is betting on the same. In this article, we will review all the groups and present them to you. Manchester City is the top contender for winning the trophy, and … Read More... about UEFA Champions League Group Stage Draw Completed
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The Weakest Link in Soccer
Football is a team game, but it is one prone to being decided by sheer, staggering individual incompetence. Every team has had one – a player whose very presence chills a fan’s blood. We are describing the type of player that with one misplaced pass, one lapse in concentration, can undo all the good work his manager and teammates have done over the course of a game, a week or a … [Read more...] about The Weakest Link in Soccer
Placing bets on bookings
We know that there is no winning formula for football. Every team must change its approach every week, every game. Instead, a manager must know his players, his team, and he must know his opponents. He must make use of every resource at his disposal to gain every possible advantage. This applies not only to every manager, but to every professional punter. Take bookings, for … [Read more...] about Placing bets on bookings
Why possession game pays off at the end of the season
Possession in football consists of two things: first, to touch the ball and second, to keep touching it. Also, there are two qualities to possession: how many times a team gets the chance to move the ball, and the time length teams end up having the opportunity to move the ball. The most straightforward way to calculate the number of possessions is to add up the number of … [Read more...] about Why possession game pays off at the end of the season
How to average like a pro
We have used the term average on numerous occasions and it normally used to express an amount that is typical for a team or a player. It is very common, in a team or players’ analysis, to read about the average goals scored, bookings, corners and other statistical attributes. Huddersfield and Stoke City, both had an average of 0.736 goals for in the 2017/2018 Premiership … [Read more...] about How to average like a pro
Machine Learning in sports betting
The global betting market increases every year as a direct result of consumer demand driven by technology advances. Betting operators focus a significant part of their investments in machine learning methods that have shown promising results in prediction. This investment comes in the form of in-house built prediction models or buying the services of specialized companies that … [Read more...] about Machine Learning in sports betting
In-running betting decisions in soccer
In-play soccer betting has become increasingly popular in recent years with the advancement of smart phones and other mobile devices. In-play odds fluctuate rapidly as the teams score goals or other events happen on the pitch (i.e. players get injured or sent off) and a professional bettor can fully take advantage of these changes based on his model and his read of the match. … [Read more...] about In-running betting decisions in soccer
Introduction to Basketball Models and Metrics
Introduction Predicting a basketball game requires, in simple terms, to guess the average number of points that each team will score. Having the average total points for each team will let you decide the points spread and match totals. When you have made your decision on the handicaps based on your model, the next part is the easiest one – checking which bookmaker has more … [Read more...] about Introduction to Basketball Models and Metrics
Evaluating individual performance in soccer
Soccer is defined by rare events – goals. The reason for this is that the events that decide who wins and who loses in football happen only occasionally, while other events – such as passes happen all the time. These events can be observed, and fans can easily comment on matches based on the teams’ goals or points earned. On the other hand, players’ performance and … [Read more...] about Evaluating individual performance in soccer