Bundesliga: Paderborn vs. Borussia Dortmund Preview, Odds, Prediction

We don’t know what would be the reaction of Dortmund‘s players following Tuesday’s loss against Bayern at home. The hosts are hoping that the Millionaires could be deflated and without a motive. Paderborn still believes in a miracle and is looking for a way to stay in the league.

Preview

Paderborn (+750) is dead last in the Bundesliga. After 28 rounds, they have just 19 points, and they haven’t won in nine straight in all competitions. Only Hoffenheim has a worse defense at home than Paderborn, who allowed 32 goals in 14 games. By the way, they won just 8 points, two more than the lousiest host in the competition Werder Bremen.

Over the latest three contests, Paderborn scored just one goal, and that is clearly showing that they didn’t come back after a pause fully prepared for future challenges. All those three games finished with under 2.5 goals, and all of them were draws. Against Fortuna Dusseldorf and Augsburg was without goals and against Hoffenheim, 1-1.

Borussia Dortmund (-300) probably lost all the chances to win the title. A 0-1 loss against Bayern was a bitter pill to swallow, and it seems that the Millionaires are going to lose the title in the lat rounds for the second year in a row. After defeating Schalke 4-0, and Wolfsburg 0-2, the fans hoped that their favorites might take down the champions and eventually win the trophy.

What is very interesting from the statistical point of view is that four last games Borussia played, saw both teams not to score, and three of those four were under 2.5 goals. Even though their style of play isn’t defensive or anything like that, the results happened to be like that.

Latest News

Klaus Gjasula is suspended because of cards and won’t appear. Meanwhile, Luca Kilian has problems with his thigh injury and won’t be available for at least two more weeks.

Axel Witsel should be back, but what concerns fans the most, is the condition of Erling Haaland. His knee injury is not healed fully at the moment, and his appearance tomorrow is questionable. Mahmoud Dahoud is out, same as Zagadou, Reus and Shulz.

Head to Head Matches

The first game of the season was a sensation, with Paderborn getting away from Dortmund with one point, 3-3. They would have a 0-3 lead at the halftime, but couldn’t keep it until the end.

Prior to this clash, Borussia won in a club-friendly in 2017, 1-6, and in DFB Pokal two years earlier 7-1.

Prediction

As mentioned at the start, who knows what is in the heads of Borussia’s players. They are probably disappointed with the current situation, and don’t have the motive like two weeks ago. But they need to be aware that the Champions League battle could be problematic, as fifth-placed Monchengladbach has just four points fewer than they do.

Meanwhile, for Paderborn, this is the last chance to win and improve their chances to at least reach Fortuna in the playoff spot.

After all, said, we will still pick Borussia to win, despite possible problems with morale. In order to boost the profits, the final pick would-be guests to win via -1.5 goals Asian handicap. Moneyline here is -120.

Pick: Borussia -1.5 -120