2019 NFL Trends Update

Fingerless gloves, Ghetto Blasters, Heelys, mullets. If these items do not sound familiar, it is because they are now out of style. They were fads.

I have a hot take. I do not think winning or making money are ever going out of style. They are here to stay.

I’m a big systems and trends bettor. I have not kept that a secret.

Last month, I helped you chase the profits by breaking down a few of the hot streaks in the NFL. It’s time for a refresher.

Let’s do something classic – make some money.

Road Teams Rule 2019

The home teams had a minute in the limelight, but 2019 has been dominated by visitors. Check out this week-by-week breakdown of road team success ATS.

Week 1	10-5-1	Week 8	8-5-1
Week 2	11-4-1	Week 9	1-11-1
Week 3	11-5	Week 10	6-6-1
Week 4	9-6	Week 11	9-4
Week 5	7-7	Week 12	7-7
Week 6	7-6	Week 13	9-7
Week 7	9-5	Total	104-78-5 (57.1%)

Except for the blip in Week 9, road teams have cleaned up this year. 2019 is well on pace to be the first season since 2015 in which road teams are profitable ATS for the entire regular season.

There are a couple of Week 14 games where it seems Vegas gave the road team a few too many points. I’m looking at the 49’ers-Saints game where SF is +2 (-105) and the Lions-Vikings game where Detroit is +12.5 (-110).

Detroit has led in every single game this season. I know, I know … they are 3-8-1. The Lions are not that far off, though. Give Patricia a second crack at slowing down the Vikings offense and I think he succeeds – at least enough to stay within 12 points.

Bet the Under on the West Coast

Games start at 10am. The air feels weird. Weed is legal.

There are plenty of reasons why an offense might struggle while playing out west, but I am not concerned with the “why” right now. I just want to know the “what”.

The “what” is this – 55.9% of the games played in the Pacific time zone have finished under the total this year.

Over the past 3 weeks, 9 of 13 games out west have gone under the total.

When I think about the teams in the west, I realize there are a lot of good defenses out there. San Fran, Seattle, the Chargers. There are also teams with anemic offenses – Denver and Oakland immediately come to mind.

This week the Raiders host the Titans while the Rams host the Seahawks. Each total began at 47, but the Raiders-Titans total has ticked up to 47.5.

The under is 3-2 in both Raiders and Seahawks home games this season. I like the prospects of at least one of these games going under, very possibly both.

BONUS TREND:

The Packers have failed to cover the spread the last 2 times they were favored by 13 points or more. Also, the under has hit in the past 4 games in which GB was favored by at least 13 points.

Happy Week 14 watching and betting! See you on top!